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Now the standoff has reached a breaking point. Anthropic faces both Trump’s social media directive to scrub Anthropic from federal agencies (a demand it is unclear if he can enforce) and a Friday 5 p.m. Eastern deadline to accept the Pentagon’s terms or risk losing its contract entirely—a move that could force the military to rip out one of its most advanced AI systems and send a chilling message across Silicon Valley. The Friday deadline when Congress is not in session prevents that arm of the government intervening in a showdown that, as AI scholar Gary Marcus wrote, “may literally be life or death for all of us.”
Like other prediction markets, Kalshi lets users make trades based on a variety of different subjects and events. For example, you could participate in a market focused on the results of a basketball game, or something more unusual, like who'll win the current season of Survivor. Despite resembling gambling, online predictive markets aren't currently regulated by state gambling laws, and instead classify bets as a type of futures contract, placing them under the purview of the CFTC. That hasn't stopped states from trying to regulate prediction markets anyway. For example, Nevada sued Kalshi for operating a sports gambling market without a permit earlier in February.